I've been looking at https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ and am noticing a rather serious rise in cases and deaths in Germany with smaller upticks in France and Italy. It looks to me like they are heading for case and death rates approaching about 1/3rd of what they were a year ago. Comparing last years graphs for Europe to those for the U.S. I think there is a case to be made that the U.S. death rate could go above 900 per day by the end of January.